AI generatedProbabilityKS3 / GCSE

Drawing a probability tree with replacement

Drawing a probability tree with replacement.

  • At each split, the outgoing probabilities sum to 1.
  • Multiply along a route; add mutually exclusive routes that meet the question.
  • Without replacement, update the counts and total for the second draw.

Example 1

A bag contains 2 red and 3 blue counters. Two counters are drawn with replacement, mixing between draws. Complete the probability tree.

Two-stage probability treeFirstSecondRRBBRB
Start with the original counts.Replacement restores the original bag.The same probabilities apply after blue.
Each pair of branches from the same point sums to 1.
Two-stage probability treeFirstSecondRRBBRB

Example 2

A bag contains 3 red and 3 blue counters. Two counters are drawn with replacement, mixing between draws. Complete the probability tree.

Two-stage probability treeFirstSecondRRBBRB
Start with the original counts.Replacement restores the original bag.The same probabilities apply after blue.
Each pair of branches from the same point sums to 1.
Two-stage probability treeFirstSecondRRBBRB

Your turn

Question 1

A bag contains 4 red and 3 blue counters. Two counters are drawn with replacement, mixing between draws. Complete the probability tree.

Two-stage probability treeFirstSecondRRBBRB
Check answer
Start with the original counts.Replacement restores the original bag.The same probabilities apply after blue.
Each pair of branches from the same point sums to 1.
Two-stage probability treeFirstSecondRRBBRB
Question 2

A bag contains 5 red and 3 blue counters. Two counters are drawn with replacement, mixing between draws. Complete the probability tree.

Two-stage probability treeFirstSecondRRBBRB
Check answer
Start with the original counts.Replacement restores the original bag.The same probabilities apply after blue.
Each pair of branches from the same point sums to 1.
Two-stage probability treeFirstSecondRRBBRB
Question 3

A bag contains 6 red and 3 blue counters. Two counters are drawn with replacement, mixing between draws. Complete the probability tree.

Two-stage probability treeFirstSecondRRBBRB
Check answer
Start with the original counts.Replacement restores the original bag.The same probabilities apply after blue.
Each pair of branches from the same point sums to 1.
Two-stage probability treeFirstSecondRRBBRB
Question 4

A bag contains 7 red and 3 blue counters. Two counters are drawn with replacement, mixing between draws. Complete the probability tree.

Two-stage probability treeFirstSecondRRBBRB
Check answer
Start with the original counts.Replacement restores the original bag.The same probabilities apply after blue.
Each pair of branches from the same point sums to 1.
Two-stage probability treeFirstSecondRRBBRB
Question 5

A bag contains 8 red and 3 blue counters. Two counters are drawn with replacement, mixing between draws. Complete the probability tree.

Two-stage probability treeFirstSecondRRBBRB
Check answer
Start with the original counts.Replacement restores the original bag.The same probabilities apply after blue.
Each pair of branches from the same point sums to 1.
Two-stage probability treeFirstSecondRRBBRB